Pickskins NFL Blog

Read the Latest News and Analysis on Everything and Anything Fantasy Football

OBJ

Below are the top 5 pass catchers for each team from 2016 with some thoughts on the outlook for 2017.


Arizona Cardinals
Larry Fitzgerald: 23.2% target share | 150 targets | 107 catches | 1,023 yards | 6 TDs
David Johnson: 18.6% target share | 120 targets | 74 catches | 879 yards | 4 TDs
J.J. Nelson: 11.5% target share | 74 targets | 34 catches | 568 yards | 6 TDs
John Brown: 11.3% target share | 73 targets | 39 catches | 517 yards | 2 TDs
Michael Floyd: 10.8% target share | 70 targets | 33 catches | 446 yards | 4 TDs

Look for Larry Fitzgerald to lead the group again this year, with RB David Johnson with the 2nd most targets.  The remaining WR corps is not more than WR3 material.


Atlanta Falcons
Julio Jones: 24.0% target share | 129 targets | 83 catches | 1,409 yards | 6 TDs
Mohamed Sanu: 15.1% target share | 81 targets | 59 catches | 653 yards | 4 TDs
Devonta Freeman: 12.1% target share | 65 targets | 54 catches | 462 yards | 2 TDs
Taylor Gabriel: 9.3% target share | 50 targets | 35 catches | 579 yards | 6 TDs
Tevin Coleman: 7.4% target share | 40 targets | 31 catches | 421 yards | 3 TDs

The Falcons have a new offensive coordinator, Steve Sarkisian, so things could change in Atlanta offensively.  However look for Julio Jones to be a top 5 WR this season.  Sanu may lose targets to Gabriel, so tread carefully on the rest of the group.  With Jacob Tamme gone, Austin Hooper could be a late flyer TE to consider.


Baltimore Ravens
Dennis Pitta: 17.8% target share | 121 targets | 86 catches | 729 yards | 2 TDs
Mike Wallace: 17.1% target share | 116 targets | 72 catches | 1,017 yards | 4 TDs
Steve Smith, Sr.: 14.9% target share | 101 targets | 70 catches | 799 yards | 5 TDs
Breshad Perriman: 9.7% target share | 66 targets | 33 catches | 499 yards | 3 TDs
Kamar Aiken: 7.4% target share | 50 targets | 29 catches | 328 yards | 1 TDs

This is a pot luck group with so many players from last year no longer with the team.  Look for newly acquired Jeremy Maclin to be the top target in this offense and Danny Woodhead to be second most targeted.

Zeke

Toxic Differential is a statistic in football used to measure a team on their ability in creating and preventing both turnovers and explosive plays. Toxic Differential is calculated by adding together a teams turnover differential (takeaways - giveaways) and its big play differential (big plays for - big plays against). Toxic differential is a combination of three different differential statistics:

1) Turnover differential, which is the difference between the total number of takeaways (opponent turnovers) less the total number of giveaways (team turnovers).

2) Passing Big Play differential, which is the difference between the total number of passing plays of 25+ yards by the team less the total number of passing plays of 25+ yards the team gave up.

3) Rushing Big Play differential, which is the difference between the total number of rushing plays of 10+ yards by the team less the total number of rushing plays of 10+ yards the team gave up.

Danny Woodhead injury

Injured | Adrian Peterson | RB | Minnesota Vikings

Peterson has a torn miniscus And should be out at least one week, if not more.

Don't pickup - Look for Matt Asiata and Jerick McKinnon to split the workload. Considering AP has had terrible production so far this season, I wouldn't expect much better from either of these two. Not to mention the Vikings next two opponents are Carolina and NY Giants. Hopefully you have better options already on your bench.

Injured | Doug Martin | RB | Tampa Bay Bucanneers

Martin said he suffered a "slight tweak" of his hamstring in the Week 2 loss to the Cardinals. He is getting an MRI today, which suggests the team is worried it could be something more. Best case scenario, Martin is definitely questionable for this week against the Rams.

Dorial Green-Beckham

Is there any wide receiver worth drafting on the Eagles roster? The Eagles wide receiver corps this season is far from exciting. The poor showing in their pre-season game highlighted the lack of wideout playmakers on their team. Nelson Agholor was a 2015 1st round pick and has thus far been a disappointment. Rueben Randle came over from the Giants and he has not made much impact either.